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Who will Trump meet this year? on Kalshi
If Donald Trump and Bongbong Marcos meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Deutsche Welle, The White House, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, CNBC, New York Times, POLITICO, NBC, CBS News, BBC, ABC News, The Washington Post, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Financial Times, ABC News Australia, Al Jazeera English, MSNBC.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Vladimir Putin before Jan 1, 2027? · Vladimir Putin | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 69,475 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Kim Jong Un before Jan 1, 2027? · Kim Jong Un | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 57,207 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Nicolás Maduro before Jan 1, 2027? · Nicolás Maduro | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 51,389 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Pope Leo XIV before Jan 1, 2027? · Pope Leo XIV | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 33,725 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Mohammed bin Salman before Jan 1, 2027? · Mohammed bin Salman | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 17,446 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Reza Pahlavi before Jan 1, 2027? · Reza Pahlavi | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 16,084 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Jerome Powell before Jan 1, 2027? · Jerome Powell | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 13,281 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Peter Thiel before Jan 1, 2027? · Peter Thiel | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 9,762 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Gavin Newsom before Jan 1, 2027? · Gavin Newsom | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 7,759 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Marjorie Taylor Greene before Jan 1, 2027? · Marjorie Taylor Greene | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 3,472 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Abelardo de la Espriella before Jan 1, 2027? · Abelardo de la Espriella | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 3,454 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Tim Walz before Jan 1, 2027? · Tim Walz | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,972 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Lai Ching-te before Jan 1, 2027? · Lai Ching-te | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,380 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Bongbong Marcos before Jan 1, 2027? · Bongbong Marcos | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,353 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Bill Clinton before Jan 1, 2027? · Bill Clinton | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,280 | Jan 01, 14:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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