What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 6¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.31.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 6% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 6%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

TOP ARTIST RUNNER UP USA on Kalshi

If Ella Langley is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Spotify.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

11% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)	0.4¢	$3.29	6.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Taylor Swift	63¢	63%	1.6¢	—	74%	12,669	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Bad Bunny	19¢	19%	1.1¢	—	38%	5,837	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Morgan Wallen be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Morgan Wallen	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	3,798	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Ella Langley be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Ella Langley	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	2,986	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Drake	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	55%	2,625	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Bruno Mars be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Bruno Mars	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	1,853	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Kendrick Lamar	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	1,582	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will The Weeknd be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · The Weeknd	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,342	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Noah Kahan be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Noah Kahan	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	985	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Olivia Rodrigo	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	654	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Beyoncé be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Beyoncé	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	112	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Chappell Roan be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Chappell Roan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	95	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Michael Jackson be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Michael Jackson	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	61	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.