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TOP ARTIST RUNNER UP on Kalshi
If The Weeknd is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Spotify.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Drake | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 26,230 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Taylor Swift | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 16,666 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Bad Bunny | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,144 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bruno Mars be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Bruno Mars | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,008 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will The Weeknd be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · The Weeknd | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,329 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Morgan Wallen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,256 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Kendrick Lamar | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 864 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Chappell Roan be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Chappell Roan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 501 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Beyoncé be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Beyoncé | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 296 | Dec 31, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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