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WHO WILL WIN THE VOICE? on Kalshi
If Owen Uffens is officially declared the winner of The Voice Season 30, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the official broadcaster or streaming platform of <competition> (e, The Source Agencies are, in hierarchical order.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 28 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nina Howland win The Voice Season 30? · Nina Howland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 13,788 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Allie Rae win The Voice Season 30? · Allie Rae | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,986 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joey Henley win The Voice Season 30? · Joey Henley | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 9,983 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Destinee Monroe win The Voice Season 30? · Destinee Monroe | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,102 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Evan James win The Voice Season 30? · Evan James | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,911 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Everett Bounds win The Voice Season 30? · Everett Bounds | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,657 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Owen Uffens win The Voice Season 30? · Owen Uffens | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,111 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Davis win The Voice Season 30? · Kyle Davis | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 5,825 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alt Bloom win The Voice Season 30? · Alt Bloom | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,454 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bryan Jaymes win The Voice Season 30? · Bryan Jaymes | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,915 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ferryn & Brinkley win The Voice Season 30? · Ferryn & Brinkley | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4,537 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Connor Closs win The Voice Season 30? · Connor Closs | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 4,199 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brandon Diaz win The Voice Season 30? · Brandon Diaz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,992 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mia Knight win The Voice Season 30? · Mia Knight | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 3,492 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brianna Cameron win The Voice Season 30? · Brianna Cameron | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 3,350 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cade Mower win The Voice Season 30? · Cade Mower | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,872 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BigCountry win The Voice Season 30? · BigCountry | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,527 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amanda Mikkel win The Voice Season 30? · Amanda Mikkel | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,456 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brooklyn Marie win The Voice Season 30? · Brooklyn Marie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,376 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marcus Ladden Jr. win The Voice Season 30? · Marcus Ladden Jr. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,375 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lexi Stephens win The Voice Season 30? · Lexi Stephens | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,253 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Koumba Diallo win The Voice Season 30? · Koumba Diallo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,234 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anna McElroy win The Voice Season 30? · Anna McElroy | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,184 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dakota Cohen win The Voice Season 30? · Dakota Cohen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 2,167 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lillie Kolich win The Voice Season 30? · Lillie Kolich | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,140 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kayleigh Mathews win The Voice Season 30? · Kayleigh Mathews | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,128 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Keiyana Osmond win The Voice Season 30? · Keiyana Osmond | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,128 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chari win The Voice Season 30? · Chari | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,128 | Jan 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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