What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Turkish Super Lig Champion on Kalshi

If Trabzonspor is the 2026-27 Turkish Super Lig Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Besiktas win the Turkish Super Lig? · Besiktas	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	4,590	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Galatasaray win the Turkish Super Lig? · Galatasaray	56¢	56%	1.7¢	—	87%	3,207	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Trabzonspor win the Turkish Super Lig? · Trabzonspor	16¢	16%	1.0¢	—	33%	3,194	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Amed win the Turkish Super Lig? · Amed	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,913	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Goztepe Izmir win the Turkish Super Lig? · Goztepe Izmir	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,991	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Fenerbahce win the Turkish Super Lig? · Fenerbahce	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	1,953	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Erzurum win the Turkish Super Lig? · Erzurum	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,702	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Corum win the Turkish Super Lig? · Corum	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,659	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Eyupspor win the Turkish Super Lig? · Eyupspor	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,653	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Alanyaspor win the Turkish Super Lig? · Alanyaspor	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,368	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Konyaspor win the Turkish Super Lig? · Konyaspor	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,363	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Gaziantep win the Turkish Super Lig? · Gaziantep	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,363	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Basaksehir win the Turkish Super Lig? · Basaksehir	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,362	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Genclerbirligi win the Turkish Super Lig? · Genclerbirligi	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,339	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Samsunspor win the Turkish Super Lig? · Samsunspor	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,312	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Rizespor win the Turkish Super Lig? · Rizespor	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,312	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Kocaeli win the Turkish Super Lig? · Kocaeli	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,312	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC
Will Kasimpasa win the Turkish Super Lig? · Kasimpasa	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,312	Jun 06, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.