Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Silver Hourly on Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST is above 53.799 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Silver.
Market says (typical open contract)
99%
Median YES price across 82 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 99¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | 99.1% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the silver close price be above 52.999 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $52.999 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 110 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.099 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.099 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 76 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.149 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.149 | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 51 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.399 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.399 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 14 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.949 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $52.949 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 7 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.049 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.049 | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 6 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.199 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.199 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 6 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.799 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.799 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.749 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.749 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.699 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.699 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.649 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.649 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.599 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.599 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.549 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.549 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.499 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.499 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.699 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.699 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.649 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.649 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.599 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.599 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.549 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.549 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.499 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.499 | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.449 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.449 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.399 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.399 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.349 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.349 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.299 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.299 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.249 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.249 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.199 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.199 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.149 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.149 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.099 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.099 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.049 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $52.049 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.999 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.999 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.949 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.949 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.899 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.899 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.849 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.849 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.799 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.799 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.749 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.749 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.699 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.699 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.649 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.649 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.599 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.599 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.549 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.549 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.499 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET? · Above $51.499 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.449 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $53.449 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 82 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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