Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Silver daily on Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 57.75 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Silver.
Market says (typical open contract)
43%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
86% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 43¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.00 | 44.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the silver close price be above 53.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $53.25 | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 663 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $53 | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 442 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $52.50 | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 374 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 54 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $54 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 173 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $53.50 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 112 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 54.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $54.25 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 91 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $52.75 | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 42 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $53.75 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 32 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $52 | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 23 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 54.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $54.50 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 7 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 57.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $57.75 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 54.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $54.75 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 50.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $50.25 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 57.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $57.50 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 57.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $57.25 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 57 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $57 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 56.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $56.75 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 56.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $56.50 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 56.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $56.25 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 56 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $56 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 55.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $55.75 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 55.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $55.50 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 55.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $55.25 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 55 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $55 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $52.25 | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $51.75 | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $51.50 | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $51.25 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $51 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 50.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $50.75 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 50.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $50.50 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $50 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 49.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $49.75 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 49.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $49.50 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 49.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $49.25 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 49 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $49 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 48.75 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $48.75 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 48.50 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $48.50 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 48.25 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $48.25 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 48 USD/t.oz on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $48 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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