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Serie A Top Finishers on Kalshi
If Venezia is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 Serie A season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Juventus | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 100,460 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Como finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Como | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 1,168 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Lazio finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Lazio | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 516 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Roma | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 509 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Milan finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Milan | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 261 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Frosinone finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Frosinone | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 103 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Napoli | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 82 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Atalanta finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Atalanta | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 81 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Inter | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 7 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Parma Calcio finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Parma Calcio | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Venezia finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Venezia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Udinese finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Udinese | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Torino finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Torino | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Sassuolo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Monza finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Monza | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Lecce finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Lecce | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Genoa finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Genoa | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Fiorentina finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Fiorentina | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Cagliari finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Cagliari | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Bologna finish in the top 4 in the Serie A season? · Bologna | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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