What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 6¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.31.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 6% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 6%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Serie A Relegation on Kalshi

If Venezia is relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

11% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)	0.4¢	$3.29	6.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Inter be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Inter	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,026	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Milan be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Milan	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	812	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Parma Calcio be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Parma Calcio	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	566	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Udinese be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Udinese	37¢	37%	1.6¢	—	74%	459	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Venezia be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Venezia	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	95%	378	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Monza be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Monza	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	373	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Juventus be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Juventus	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	340	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Lecce	53¢	53%	1.7¢	—	94%	151	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Sassuolo be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Sassuolo	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	40%	125	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Torino be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Torino	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	20	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Frosinone be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Frosinone	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	19	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Lazio be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Lazio	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	12	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Genoa be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Genoa	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	4	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Fiorentina be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Fiorentina	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	2	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Bologna be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Bologna	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Roma be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Roma	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Napoli be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Napoli	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Como be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Como	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Cagliari be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Cagliari	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
Will Atalanta be relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 Season? · Atalanta	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Jul 15, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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