Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Serie A on Kalshi
If Venezia is the 2026-2027 Serie A champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Roma | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 68,971 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Como | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 53,300 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Napoli | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 47,735 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Inter win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Inter | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 47,466 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Lazio | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 42,275 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Juventus | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 34,372 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Milan | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 29,410 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Fiorentina | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 14,434 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Atalanta win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Atalanta | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,986 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Venezia win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Venezia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,068 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Frosinone | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 935 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Bologna | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 604 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sassuolo win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Sassuolo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 187 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Genoa win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Genoa | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 187 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Lecce | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 55 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Torino win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Torino | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 54 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Cagliari win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Cagliari | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Udinese win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Udinese | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Parma Calcio win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Parma Calcio | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Monza win the 2026-27 Serie A? · Monza | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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