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Serbian presidential election winner by candidate on Kalshi

If Vojislav Šešelj wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Republic Electoral Commission.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Vojislav Šešelj win the next Serbian presidential election? · Vojislav Šešelj5¢5%0.3¢—10%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbian presidential election? · Vladan Petrov6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Vladan Đokić14¢14%0.8¢—28%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Radomir Saičić15¢15%0.9¢—30%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbian presidential election? · Miloš Vučević6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Miloš Jovanović win the next Serbian presidential election? · Miloš Jovanović5¢5%0.3¢—10%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Ilija Srdanović win the next Serbian presidential election? · Ilija Srdanović6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Ivica Dačić6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Dejan Šoškić7¢7%0.5¢—14%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbian presidential election? · Đuro Macut5¢5%0.3¢—10%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Dejan Bodiroga win the next Serbian presidential election? · Dejan Bodiroga25¢25%1.3¢—50%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Branimir Nestorović win the next Serbian presidential election? · Branimir Nestorović5¢5%0.3¢—10%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Bogoljub Karić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Bogoljub Karić5¢5%0.3¢—10%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Aleksandar Čupić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Aleksandar Čupić10¢10%0.6¢—19%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Ana Brnabić6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Dec 27, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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