Markets › Kalshi › Economics
Remittance Cost on Kalshi
If the latest available global average cost of sending $200 in remittances, as published by the World Bank in its Remittance Prices Worldwide reports as of December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, is above 7.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: World Bank.
Market says (typical open contract)
67%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
66% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 67¢ (now) | 1.5¢ | $1.15 | 68.5% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.50%? · Above 7.50% | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.25%? · Above 7.25% | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 7.00%? · Above 7.00% | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.75%? · Above 6.75% | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.50%? · Above 6.50% | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.25%? · Above 6.25% | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%? · Above 6.00% | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%? · Above 5.75% | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%? · Above 5.50% | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%? · Above 5.25% | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the global average cost of sending $200 in remittances on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%? · Above 5.00% | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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