Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Regal Foot Traffic on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Regal Foot Traffic (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 97.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 97.5? · Above 97.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 95? · Above 95 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 92.5? · Above 92.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 90? · Above 90 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 87.5? · Above 87.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 85? · Above 85 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 82.5? · Above 82.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 80? · Above 80 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 102.5? · Above 102.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Regal Foot Traffic for November 2026 be above 100? · Above 100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.