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Red Bull Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Red Bull Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 96.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
16% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 119 ? · Above 119 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 10,250 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 110.5 ? · Above 110.5 | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 9,760 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 107 ? · Above 107 | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 1,837 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 103.5 ? · Above 103.5 | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 1,770 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 96.5 ? · Above 96.5 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,426 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 117 ? · Above 117 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,317 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 123 ? · Above 123 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,000 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 114 ? · Above 114 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 932 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 112.5 ? · Above 112.5 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 866 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 100 ? · Above 100 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 814 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 115.5 ? · Above 115.5 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 542 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.