What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Runner up top Search on google this year on Kalshi

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy is #2 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Google Trends.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Donald Trump be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Donald Trump	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	16,026	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Bad Bunny	25¢	25%	1.3¢	—	50%	14,617	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Taylor Swift	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	7,128	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Elon Musk	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	2,603	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Volodymyr Zelenskyy	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	591	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Timothée Chalamet	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	479	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Billie Eilish be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Billie Eilish	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	367	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Vladimir Putin be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Vladimir Putin	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	183	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Sam Altman be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Sam Altman	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	144	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Joe Biden be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Joe Biden	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	139	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Kamala Harris be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? · Kamala Harris	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	134	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.