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TOP FANTASY FOOTBALL QB on Kalshi
If Bryce Young is the #1 scoring QB on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Quarterback Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN Fantasy.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 26 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Justin Herbert | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 12,909 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Lamar Jackson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 8,138 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Jared Goff | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 7,969 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Josh Allen | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 7,791 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Patrick Mahomes | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 6,040 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Brock Purdy | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 5,238 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Jaxson Dart | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,677 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Malik Willis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,778 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Joe Burrow | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 3,561 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Trevor Lawrence | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,399 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Bryce Young | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 2,917 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Caleb Williams | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,850 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Drake Maye | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2,726 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Dak Prescott | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,696 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Tyler Shough | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,426 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Kyler Murray | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,958 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Jayden Daniels | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,774 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Matthew Stafford | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,559 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Bo Nix | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,547 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Jalen Hurts | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,464 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Jordan Love | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,138 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Cam Ward | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 764 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Fernando Mendoza | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 640 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Sam Darnold | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 464 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Baker Mayfield | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 431 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? · Geno Smith | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 39 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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