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When will Trump's new Press Secretary be announced? on Kalshi
If Donald Trump has made any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) after Issuance and before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the White House, Federal Register, the President of the United States.
Market says (typical open contract)
78%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
45% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 78¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $0.77 | 79.2% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 27, 2026? · Before Nov 27, 2026 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 14,274 | Nov 27, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 13, 2026? · Before Nov 13, 2026 | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 9,411 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 20, 2026? · Before Nov 20, 2026 | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 8,860 | Nov 20, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Jan 1, 2027? · Before Jan 1, 2027 | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 7,699 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Dec 4, 2026? · Before Dec 4, 2026 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 5,195 | Dec 04, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Feb 1, 2027? · Before Feb 1, 2027 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 1,616 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Dec 15, 2026? · Before Dec 15, 2026 | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,009 | Dec 15, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Mar 1, 2027? · Before Mar 1, 2027 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 636 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before May 1, 2027? · Before May 1, 2027 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 614 | May 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Apr 1, 2027? · Before Apr 1, 2027 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 500 | Apr 01, 03:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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