Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Platinum Hourly on Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for platinum on November 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST is above 1586.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Platinum.
Market says (typical open contract)
94%
Median YES price across 148 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 95¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $0.18 | 95.3% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the platinum close price be above 1575.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1575.49 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 36 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1579.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1579.99 | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 23 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1579.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1579.49 | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 18 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1580.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1580.49 | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 16 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1576.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1576.49 | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 16 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1574.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1574.99 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 15 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1578.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1578.99 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 12 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1582.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1582.49 | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 9 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1581.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1581.99 | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 9 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1578.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1578.49 | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 9 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1576.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1576.99 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 9 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1575.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1575.99 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 9 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1577.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1577.99 | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 8 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1583.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1583.49 | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 7 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1582.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1582.99 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 7 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1580.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1580.99 | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 7 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1577.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1577.49 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 7 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1574.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1574.49 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 7 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1586.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1586.99 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1586.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1586.49 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1585.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1585.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1585.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1585.49 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1584.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1584.99 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1584.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1584.49 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1583.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1583.99 | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1581.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1581.49 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1573.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1573.99 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1573.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1573.49 | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1572.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1572.99 | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1572.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1572.49 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1571.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1571.99 | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1571.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1571.49 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1570.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1570.99 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1570.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1570.49 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1569.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1569.99 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1569.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1569.49 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1568.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1568.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1568.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1568.49 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1567.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1567.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1567.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET? · Above $1567.49 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 148 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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