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Polish Hockey Game on Kalshi
If Unia Oswiecim wins the Unia Oswiecim vs JKH GKS Jastrzebie professional Polska Hokej Liga hockey game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Polska Hokej Liga, Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
49%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Oswiecim wins · Unia Oswiecim | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
| JKH GKS Jastrzebie wins · JKH GKS Jastrzebie | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
| KH Energa Torun wins · KH Energa Torun | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:30 UTC |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec wins · Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:30 UTC |
| GKS Tychy wins · GKS Tychy | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| Comarch Cracovia wins · Comarch Cracovia | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| KH Sanok wins · KH Sanok | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| Podhale Nowy Targ wins · Podhale Nowy Targ | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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