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Croatia Premijer Liga Game on Kalshi
If KK Zabok wins the Kk Cedevita Zagreb Junior vs KK Zabok men's professional Croatia Premijer Liga basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, EuroBasket, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK Zabok wins · KK Zabok | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 18:00 UTC |
| Kk Cedevita Zagreb Junior wins · Kk Cedevita Zagreb Junior | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 18:00 UTC |
| Kk Split wins · Kk Split | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 18:00 UTC |
| KK Skrljevo wins · KK Skrljevo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 18:00 UTC |
| Kk Samobor wins · Kk Samobor | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 19:00 UTC |
| KK Dinamo Zagreb wins · KK Dinamo Zagreb | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 19:00 UTC |
| KK Dubrovnik wins · KK Dubrovnik | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 19:00 UTC |
| KK Cibona wins · KK Cibona | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 16, 19:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.