What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.75.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 52% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

PGA Round 1 Top 10 FInishers on Kalshi

If Zecheng Dou finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN, the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 110 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

100% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢ (now)	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Zecheng Dou finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Zecheng Dou	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Zac Blair finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Zac Blair	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Zachary Bauchou finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Zachary Bauchou	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
William Mouw finishes top 10 in Round 1 · William Mouw	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Vince Whaley finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Vince Whaley	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Taylor Pendrith finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Taylor Pendrith	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Thomas Morrison finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Thomas Morrison	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Taylor Moore finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Taylor Moore	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Takumi Kanaya finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Takumi Kanaya	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Trace Crowe finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Trace Crowe	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Sudarshan Yellamaraju	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Sami Valimaki finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Sami Valimaki	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Sam Stevens finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Sam Stevens	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Seamus Power finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Seamus Power	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Stephan Jaeger finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Stephan Jaeger	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Rikuya Hoshino finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Rikuya Hoshino	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Rasmus Hojgaard finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Rasmus Hojgaard	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Rico Hoey finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Rico Hoey	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Ricky Castillo finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Ricky Castillo	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Rafael Campos finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Rafael Campos	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Patrick Rodgers finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Patrick Rodgers	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Pontus Nyholm finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Pontus Nyholm	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Peter Malnati finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Peter Malnati	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Patton Kizzire finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Patton Kizzire	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Patrick Fishburn finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Patrick Fishburn	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Pierceson Coody finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Pierceson Coody	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Nick Taylor finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Nick Taylor	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Neal Shipley finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Neal Shipley	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Nicholas Lindheim finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Nicholas Lindheim	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Nick Dunlap finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Nick Dunlap	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Michael Thompson finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Michael Thompson	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Miles Russell finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Miles Russell	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Marcelo Rozo finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Marcelo Rozo	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Marco Penge finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Marco Penge	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Matthieu Pavon finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Matthieu Pavon	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Mac Meissner finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Mac Meissner	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Max McGreevy finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Max McGreevy	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Matt McCarty finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Matt McCarty	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
Matt Kuchar finishes top 10 in Round 1 · Matt Kuchar	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Dec 13, 00:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 110 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.