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will person perform role on Kalshi

If Victoria Justice performs/ is announced as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: San Francisco Unified School District.

Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
9% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)0.3¢$3.364.3%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Eiza González perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Eiza González10¢10%0.6¢—19%50Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Adria Arjona perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Adria Arjona6¢6%0.4¢—13%40Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Victoria Justice perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Victoria Justice3¢3%0.2¢—6%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Sofía Vergara perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Sofía Vergara4¢4%0.3¢—9%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Salma Hayek perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Salma Hayek6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Selena Gomez perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Selena Gomez3¢3%0.2¢—7%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Sofia Carson perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Sofia Carson4¢4%0.3¢—9%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Rachel Zegler perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Rachel Zegler4¢4%0.3¢—9%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Melissa Barrera perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Melissa Barrera6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Emeraude Toubia perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Emeraude Toubia3¢3%0.2¢—6%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Eva Mendes perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Eva Mendes3¢3%0.2¢—7%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Diane Guerrero perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Diane Guerrero3¢3%0.2¢—6%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Camila Mendes perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Camila Mendes6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Anya Taylor-Joy4¢4%0.3¢—9%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Ana de Armas perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Ana de Armas16¢16%1.0¢—33%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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