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will person perform role on Kalshi
If Victoria Justice performs/ is announced as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: San Francisco Unified School District.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
9% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eiza González perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Eiza González | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 50 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adria Arjona perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Adria Arjona | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 40 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Victoria Justice perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Victoria Justice | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sofía Vergara perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Sofía Vergara | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Salma Hayek perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Salma Hayek | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Selena Gomez perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Selena Gomez | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sofia Carson perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Sofia Carson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rachel Zegler perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Rachel Zegler | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Melissa Barrera perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Melissa Barrera | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emeraude Toubia perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Emeraude Toubia | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Eva Mendes perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Eva Mendes | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Diane Guerrero perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Diane Guerrero | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Camila Mendes perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Camila Mendes | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Anya Taylor-Joy | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ana de Armas perform as Evelyn Hugo in Netflix's film adaptation of The Seven Husbands of Evelyn Hugo? · Ana de Armas | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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