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PDC Darts on Kalshi

If Wessel Nijman is the 2026-27 PDC World Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, Fox Sports, PDC.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Championship? · Luke Littler51¢51%1.7¢—98%23,963Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Luke Humphries win the PDC World Championship? · Luke Humphries15¢15%0.9¢—30%13,383Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Stephen Bunting win the PDC World Championship? · Stephen Bunting1¢1%0.1¢—2%4,184Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Championship? · Gian van Veen5¢5%0.3¢—10%2,668Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Championship? · Michael van Gerwen1¢1%0.1¢—2%2,644Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Jonny Clayton win the PDC World Championship? · Jonny Clayton7¢7%0.5¢—14%2,539Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will James Wade win the PDC World Championship? · James Wade2¢2%0.2¢—5%2,531Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Gerwyn Price win the PDC World Championship? · Gerwyn Price6¢6%0.4¢—12%2,463Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Wessel Nijman win the PDC World Championship? · Wessel Nijman2¢2%0.2¢—5%2,284Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Rob Cross win the PDC World Championship? · Rob Cross1¢1%0.1¢—2%1,652Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Kevin Doets win the PDC World Championship? · Kevin Doets2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,616Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Dirk van Duijvenbode win the PDC World Championship? · Dirk van Duijvenbode2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,290Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Nathan Aspinall win the PDC World Championship? · Nathan Aspinall2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,251Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Josh Rock win the PDC World Championship? · Josh Rock2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,239Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Chris Dobey win the PDC World Championship? · Chris Dobey1¢1%0.1¢—2%1,208Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Gary Anderson win the PDC World Championship? · Gary Anderson2¢2%0.1¢—4%1,092Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Danny Noppert win the PDC World Championship? · Danny Noppert1¢1%0.1¢—2%967Jan 22, 15:00 UTC
Will Ryan Searle win the PDC World Championship? · Ryan Searle1¢1%0.1¢—2%935Jan 22, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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