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Petrobras Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras reports Above 3550 total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
60%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
79% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 60¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.40 | 61.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3250 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3250 mboed | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2,192 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3200 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3200 mboed | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,532 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3450 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3450 mboed | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 680 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3350 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3350 mboed | 83¢ | 83% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 423 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3100 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3100 mboed | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 335 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 2950 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 2950 mboed | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 235 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3150 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3150 mboed | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 215 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3500 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3500 mboed | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 200 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3000 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3000 mboed | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 91 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3050 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3050 mboed | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 55 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3400 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3400 mboed | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 8 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3550 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3550 mboed | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3300 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026? · Above 3300 mboed | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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