What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Oscar for Best Supporting Actress on Kalshi

If Kate O'Flynn has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Inde Navarrette	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	42,624	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Anne Hathaway	56¢	56%	1.7¢	—	89%	35,395	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Amanda Seyfried	26¢	26%	1.4¢	—	53%	23,883	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Penélope Cruz	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	14,129	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Kate O'Flynn	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	7,814	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Sandra Hüller	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	7,454	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Zendaya win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Zendaya	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	5,365	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Tao Okamoto	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,942	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Mariana di Girolamo	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,405	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Tie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,465	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Parker Posey win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Parker Posey	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,159	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Gemma Chan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,286	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Margaret Qualley win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Margaret Qualley	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	428	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Isabella Rossellini	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	133	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Betty Gilpin win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Betty Gilpin	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	61	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars? · Danielle Deadwyler	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	13	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.