What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Oscar for Best Actor on Kalshi

If Yura Borisov has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 25 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Tom Cruise	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	251,494	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Matt Damon	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	196,358	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars? · John Malkovich	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	85%	168,644	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Andrew Scott	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	45%	145,261	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Robert Pattison win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Robert Pattinson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	141,094	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Timothée Chalamet	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	121,413	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Anthony Ippolito	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	103,312	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Jaafar Jackson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	87,570	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Pedro Pascal	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	81,755	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Ryan Gosling	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	73,607	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Jeremy Strong	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	71,013	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Tie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	55,614	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Brad Pitt	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	42,894	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tom Holland win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Tom Holland	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	26,136	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Sebastian Stan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	25,876	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Adam Driver	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	16,595	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Ethan Hawke	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6,482	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Josh O'Connor	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,253	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Channing Tatum	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,408	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Yura Borisov win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Yura Borisov	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,389	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Keanu Reeves win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Keanu Reeves	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,201	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Jacob Tremblay win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Jacob Tremblay	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,335	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Sacha Baron Cohen win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Sacha Baron Cohen	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	691	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Charles Melton win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Charles Melton	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	606	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Hanns Zischler win Best Actor at the Oscars? · Hanns Zischler	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	345	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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