What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 15¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.98.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 16% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 15%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Science and Technology

Ohio data center count on Kalshi

If the number of data centers listed by Data Center Map in Ohio at the end of December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET is at least 305, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Data Center Map.

Market says (typical open contract)

15%

Median YES price across 4 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

30% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
15¢ (now)	0.9¢	$2.98	15.9%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Ohio have at least 265 data centers this year? · At least 265	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	65%	453	Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Ohio have at least 275 data centers this year? · At least 275	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	443	Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Ohio have at least 290 data centers this year? · At least 290	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	313	Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Ohio have at least 305 data centers this year? · At least 305	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	264	Jan 07, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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