What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.75.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 52% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Nu Holdings KPI on Kalshi

If Nu Holdings Ltd. reports above 154000000 Number of Customers in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

100% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢ (now)	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 143 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 143 million	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	596	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 154 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 154 million	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	501	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 152 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 152 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	220	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 147 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 147 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	207	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 145 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 145 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	195	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 148 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 148 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	130	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 144 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 144 million	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	102	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 153 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 153 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	62	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 146 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 146 million	38¢	38%	1.6¢	—	75%	45	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 151 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 151 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	38	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 149 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 149 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	20	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 150 million Number of Customers in 2026? · Above 150 million	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	4	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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