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Western Conference Champion on Kalshi
If the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026-27 NHL Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference Finals? · San Jose Sharks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 43,588 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference Finals? · Edmonton Oilers | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 25,762 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference Finals? · Anaheim Ducks | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 18,372 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference Finals? · Utah Mammoth | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 18,369 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference Finals? · Minnesota Wild | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 18,076 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference Finals? · Seattle Kraken | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 12,600 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference Finals? · Dallas Stars | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 12,418 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference Finals? · Colorado Avalanche | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 10,942 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference Finals? · Vegas Golden Knights | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 10,486 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the Western Conference Finals? · St. Louis Blues | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 10,076 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference Finals? · Los Angeles Kings | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 8,257 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the Western Conference Finals? · Chicago Blackhawks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,664 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the Western Conference Finals? · Nashville Predators | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,653 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Calgary Flames win the Western Conference Finals? · Calgary Flames | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,326 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Vancouver Canucks win the Western Conference Finals? · Vancouver Canucks | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,524 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference Finals? · Winnipeg Jets | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,252 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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