Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NHL Team Goals Scored During Game on Kalshi
If Philadelphia scores over 5.5 goals in the Philadelphia vs Edmonton NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the National Hockey League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 118 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver over 2.5 goals scored · Vancouver over 2.5 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 9,158 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| San Jose over 1.5 goals scored · San Jose over 1.5 | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,337 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| San Jose over 2.5 goals scored · San Jose over 2.5 | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 2,426 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| San Jose over 3.5 goals scored · San Jose over 3.5 | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,051 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New York I over 3.5 goals scored · New York I over 3.5 | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 901 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 3.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 3.5 | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 778 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 2.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 2.5 | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 657 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| New York I over 2.5 goals scored · New York I over 2.5 | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 488 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 4.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 4.5 | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 342 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Vancouver over 4.5 goals scored · Vancouver over 4.5 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 244 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Vancouver over 5.5 goals scored · Vancouver over 5.5 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 107 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| New York I over 4.5 goals scored · New York I over 4.5 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 46 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Vancouver over 3.5 goals scored · Vancouver over 3.5 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 28 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Vancouver over 1.5 goals scored · Vancouver over 1.5 | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 18 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| San Jose over 5.5 goals scored · San Jose over 5.5 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 2 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Colorado over 4.5 goals scored · Colorado over 4.5 | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 2 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| New York I over 5.5 goals scored · New York I over 5.5 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 1 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 5.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 5.5 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 5.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 4.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 3.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 2.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 1.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton over 5.5 goals scored · Edmonton over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton over 4.5 goals scored · Edmonton over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton over 3.5 goals scored · Edmonton over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton over 2.5 goals scored · Edmonton over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton over 1.5 goals scored · Edmonton over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Tampa Bay over 5.5 goals scored · Tampa Bay over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Tampa Bay over 4.5 goals scored · Tampa Bay over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Tampa Bay over 3.5 goals scored · Tampa Bay over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Tampa Bay over 2.5 goals scored · Tampa Bay over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Tampa Bay over 1.5 goals scored · Tampa Bay over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 5.5 goals scored · Buffalo over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 4.5 goals scored · Buffalo over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 3.5 goals scored · Buffalo over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 2.5 goals scored · Buffalo over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 1.5 goals scored · Buffalo over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| New York R over 5.5 goals scored · New York R over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
| New York R over 4.5 goals scored · New York R over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 118 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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