What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

NHL Calder Memorial Trophy on Kalshi

If Zeev Buium wins the NHL Calder Memorial Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: NHL, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Calder Memorial Trophy: Theo Lindstein wins · Theo Lindstein	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,744	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: James Hagens wins · James Hagens	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	4,319	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Jacob Fowler wins · Jacob Fowler	32¢	32%	1.5¢	—	65%	3,501	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Ivar Stenberg wins · Ivar Stenberg	19¢	19%	1.1¢	—	38%	2,764	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Anton Frondell wins · Anton Frondell	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,202	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Roman Kantserov wins · Roman Kantserov	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	2,199	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Cole Hutson wins · Cole Hutson	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	1,680	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Gavin McKenna wins · Gavin McKenna	16¢	16%	1.0¢	—	33%	1,574	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Trevor Connelly wins · Trevor Connelly	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	1,514	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Victor Eklund wins · Victor Eklund	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	1,227	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Beckett Sennecke wins · Beckett Sennecke	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	1,212	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Jonathan Lekkerimaki wins · Jonathan Lekkerimaki	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,059	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Michael Brandsegg-Nygård wins · Michael Brandsegg-Nygård	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	920	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Porter Martone wins · Porter Martone	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	877	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Nikita Klepov wins · Nikita Klepov	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	768	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Tij Iginla wins · Tij Iginla	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	673	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Sebastian Cossa wins · Sebastian Cossa	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	666	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Berkly Catton wins · Berkly Catton	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	642	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Sergei Murashov wins · Sergei Murashov	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	625	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Artur Akhtyamov wins · Artur Akhtyamov	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	532	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Dalibor Dvorsky wins · Dalibor Dvorsky	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	521	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Artyom Levshunov wins · Artyom Levshunov	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	468	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Konsta Helenius wins · Konsta Helenius	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	386	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Danila Yurov wins · Danila Yurov	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	379	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Sam Dickinson wins · Sam Dickinson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	378	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Carter Yakemchuk wins · Carter Yakemchuk	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	348	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Ilya Protas wins · Ilya Protas	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	330	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Collin Graf wins · Collin Graf	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	307	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Adam Engström wins · Adam Engström	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	300	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Matthew Savoie wins · Matthew Savoie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	292	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Sandis Vilmanis wins · Sandis Vilmanis	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	281	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Caleb Desnoyers wins · Caleb Desnoyers	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	279	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Viggo Björck wins · Viggo Björck	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	274	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Zeev Buium wins · Zeev Buium	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	260	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Alex Bump wins · Alex Bump	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	247	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Gabe Perreault wins · Gabe Perreault	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	245	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Ryan Ufko wins · Ryan Ufko	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	231	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Bradly Nadeau wins · Bradly Nadeau	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	229	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Igor Chernyshov wins · Igor Chernyshov	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	214	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC
Calder Memorial Trophy: Luca Cagnoni wins · Luca Cagnoni	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	104	Jul 07, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.