What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 15¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.99.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 15% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 15%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

2nd Period Spread on Kalshi

If New York I wins by more than 2.5 goals in the 2nd period of the New York I vs San Jose NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

15%

Median YES price across 23 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

29% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
15¢ (now)	0.9¢	$2.98	15.9%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
New York I wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · New York I wins by over 1.5 goals	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	362	Nov 12, 03:00 UTC
San Jose wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · San Jose wins by over 1.5 goals	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	80	Nov 12, 03:00 UTC
New York I wins 2nd Period by over 2.5 goals · New York I wins by over 2.5 goals	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	0	Nov 12, 03:00 UTC
Philadelphia wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 14, 02:00 UTC
Edmonton wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 14, 02:00 UTC
Tampa Bay wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 goals	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 14, 00:00 UTC
Buffalo wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Buffalo wins by over 1.5 goals	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 14, 00:00 UTC
New York R wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · New York R wins by over 1.5 goals	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 14, 00:30 UTC
Calgary wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 14, 00:30 UTC
Nashville wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	0	Nov 13, 03:00 UTC
Los Angeles wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	29%	0	Nov 13, 03:00 UTC
St. Louis wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	29%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
Detroit wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Detroit wins by over 1.5 goals	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	0	Nov 13, 01:00 UTC
Winnipeg wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Winnipeg wins by over 1.5 goals	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	21%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
New Jersey wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · New Jersey wins by over 1.5 goals	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Florida wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Florida wins by over 1.5 goals	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Nov 13, 00:30 UTC
Columbus wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Columbus wins by over 1.5 goals	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Nov 13, 00:30 UTC
Washington wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Washington wins by over 1.5 goals	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Ottawa wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Ottawa wins by over 1.5 goals	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	29%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Montreal wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Minnesota wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Toronto wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Toronto wins by over 1.5 goals	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC
Colorado wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Nov 13, 00:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.