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Pro Football Team Sacks on Kalshi

If Washington records 6+ sacks in the Washington vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)
26%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
51% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
26¢ (now)1.3¢$2.5927.3%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Minnesota: 6+ sacks · Minnesota: 6+5¢5%0.3¢—10%20,790Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Buffalo: 4+ sacks · Buffalo: 4+17¢17%1.0¢—34%17,642Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Buffalo: 3+ sacks · Buffalo: 3+16¢16%1.0¢—33%16,640Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Minnesota: 4+ sacks · Minnesota: 4+100¢100%0.0¢—1%16,143Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Minnesota: 5+ sacks · Minnesota: 5+10¢10%0.6¢—20%15,207Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Minnesota: 3+ sacks · Minnesota: 3+100¢100%0.0¢—1%11,652Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Buffalo: 5+ sacks · Buffalo: 5+17¢17%1.0¢—34%8,807Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Buffalo: 6+ sacks · Buffalo: 6+16¢16%1.0¢—33%5,104Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Buffalo: 2+ sacks · Buffalo: 2+100¢100%0.0¢—1%4,956Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Minnesota: 2+ sacks · Minnesota: 2+100¢100%0.0¢—1%2,121Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Washington: 6+ sacks · Washington: 6+13¢13%0.8¢—26%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington: 5+ sacks · Washington: 5+20¢20%1.1¢—41%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington: 4+ sacks · Washington: 4+32¢32%1.5¢—63%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington: 3+ sacks · Washington: 3+40¢40%1.7¢—81%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington: 2+ sacks · Washington: 2+40¢40%1.7¢—81%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G: 6+ sacks · New York G: 6+10¢10%0.6¢—19%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G: 5+ sacks · New York G: 5+16¢16%0.9¢—31%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G: 4+ sacks · New York G: 4+26¢26%1.3¢—51%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G: 3+ sacks · New York G: 3+38¢38%1.7¢—77%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G: 2+ sacks · New York G: 2+40¢40%1.7¢—81%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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