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Pro Football Stage of Elimination on Kalshi
If the Miami Pro Football team is eliminated in the Wildcard Round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 192 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
13% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dallas win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 12,655 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 10,493 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 9,720 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 9,576 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 9,105 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baltimore be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 8,233 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 6,799 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 6,760 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 6,687 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 5,719 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,838 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4,485 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 4,465 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G be eliminated in the Conference Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Conference Championship | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 4,309 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 4,241 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4,214 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,161 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 4,071 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 3,830 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be eliminated in the Conference Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Conference Championship | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 3,792 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 3,694 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,659 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 3,320 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 3,302 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 3,200 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota be eliminated in the Conference Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Conference Championship | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 3,158 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 2,955 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,872 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2,861 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New England win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,834 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be eliminated in the Wildcard Round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Wildcard Round | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 2,708 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston be eliminated in the Conference Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Conference Championship | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2,703 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 2,625 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,615 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be eliminated in the Championship Game in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Runner-Up | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,481 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland be eliminated in the Wildcard Round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Wildcard Round | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 2,476 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be eliminated in the Divisional Round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Divisional Round | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 2,429 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C be eliminated in the Wildcard Round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Wildcard Round | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,333 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New England be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Regular Season | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 2,215 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo win the Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? · Championship Winner | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 2,212 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 192 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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