Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Pro Football Round Qualifier on Kalshi
If Washington qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
14%
Median YES price across 64 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
27% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14¢ (now) | 0.8¢ | $3.01 | 14.8% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Chicago | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 6,227 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| New York G qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · New York G | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 4,073 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Las Vegas qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Las Vegas | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4,008 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Buffalo qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Buffalo | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 3,399 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Kansas City qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Kansas City | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 3,069 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| San Francisco qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · San Francisco | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2,946 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| New England qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · New England | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 2,852 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Atlanta qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Atlanta | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,839 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Green Bay qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Green Bay | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 2,801 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Houston qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Houston | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 2,707 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Carolina qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Carolina | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,665 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Minnesota qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Minnesota | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 2,482 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Jacksonville qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Jacksonville | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 2,428 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Detroit qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Detroit | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 2,361 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Dallas qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Dallas | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 2,007 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Jacksonville qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Jacksonville | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 1,874 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Houston qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Houston | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 1,848 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Los Angeles R qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Los Angeles R | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 1,812 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| New York G qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · New York G | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,589 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Pittsburgh | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 1,546 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Green Bay qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Green Bay | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 1,540 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| San Francisco qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · San Francisco | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 1,339 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Kansas City qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Kansas City | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 1,253 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| New England qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · New England | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 1,223 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Denver qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Denver | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,222 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Cincinnati qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Cincinnati | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 1,190 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Carolina qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Carolina | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 1,056 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Las Vegas qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Las Vegas | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,010 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Seattle qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Seattle | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 999 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Seattle qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Seattle | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 995 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Atlanta qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Atlanta | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 837 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Baltimore qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Baltimore | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 821 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Minnesota qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Minnesota | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 787 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Chicago qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Chicago | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 760 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Detroit qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Detroit | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 724 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Cincinnati qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Cincinnati | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 682 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Baltimore qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Baltimore | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 676 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Cleveland qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Cleveland | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 614 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Cleveland qualifies for the conference championship in the 2026-27 season · Cleveland | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 613 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Denver qualifies for the divisional round in the 2026-27 season · Denver | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 584 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 64 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.