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National Football Conference Champion on Kalshi
If Washington wins the Pro Football NFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Chicago | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 1,900,888 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · San Francisco | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 1,734,538 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Dallas | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,491,892 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · New York G | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,488,000 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Seattle | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,306,474 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Los Angeles R | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 1,288,554 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Minnesota | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,259,563 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Tampa Bay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,216,905 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Philadelphia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 953,087 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Atlanta | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 874,730 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Carolina | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 790,779 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · New Orleans | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 750,427 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 696,463 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Green Bay | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 694,969 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Detroit | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 693,900 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona win the Pro Football NFC Championship? · Arizona | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 131,233 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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