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NFL MVP Award Specials on Kalshi
If the Pro Football MVP in the 2026-27 season is on a team in the NFC West, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Age: 26-29 years old · 26-29 years old | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 1,734 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Age: 30-33 years old · 30-33 years old | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 1,454 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Conference: AFC · AFC | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 1,236 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Conference: NFC · NFC | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 1,095 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: NFC West · NFC West | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 1,027 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Age: 25 years old or younger · 25 years old or younger | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 781 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Age: 34 years old or older · 34 years old or older | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 778 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: AFC North · AFC North | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 268 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: AFC East · AFC East | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 183 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: NFC South · NFC South | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 164 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: AFC West · AFC West | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 142 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: NFC North · NFC North | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 124 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: NFC East · NFC East | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 24 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Pro Football MVP Division: AFC South · AFC South | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 5 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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