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Pro Football Most Receiving Yards on Kalshi
If Dawson Knox records the most Receiving Yards among all players in the game for the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
25% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.08 | 12.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Justin Jefferson | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 2,369 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| Khalil Shakir: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Khalil Shakir | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 2,325 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| Keon Coleman: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Keon Coleman | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 1,992 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| DJ Moore: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · DJ Moore | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 1,524 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| T.J. Hockenson: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · T.J. Hockenson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 436 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| Jordan Addison: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Jordan Addison | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 382 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| Dalton Kincaid: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Dalton Kincaid | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 179 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| Ty Johnson: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Ty Johnson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 115 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| Dawson Knox: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Dawson Knox | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
| Keleki Latu: most receiving yards in the BUF vs MIN game · Keleki Latu | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 24, 01:15 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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