What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 18¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.87.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 19% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 18%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Receiving Yards Ladder on Kalshi

If Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by Stefon Diggs during the Washington vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

18%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

36% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
18¢ (now)	1.0¢	$2.87	19.0%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Justin Jefferson receiving yards ladder · Justin Jefferson	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	73%	6,628	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III receiving yards ladder · James Cook III	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	6,141	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
DJ Moore receiving yards ladder · DJ Moore	26¢	26%	1.3¢	—	51%	4,865	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Khalil Shakir receiving yards ladder · Khalil Shakir	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	4,579	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Dalton Kincaid receiving yards ladder · Dalton Kincaid	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	49%	1,581	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr. receiving yards ladder · Aaron Jones Sr.	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	741	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Stefon Diggs receiving yards ladder · Stefon Diggs	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Malik Nabers receiving yards ladder · Malik Nabers	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	36%	0	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Isaiah Likely receiving yards ladder · Isaiah Likely	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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