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Pro Football Head-to-Head Win Totals on Kalshi
If New York G records more wins than Atlanta in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tampa Bay record more wins than Pittsburgh in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Tampa Bay | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 5,331 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati record more wins than Chicago in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Cincinnati | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 4,010 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver record more wins than Houston in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Denver | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 3,728 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C record more wins than Baltimore in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Los Angeles C | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 3,695 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo record more wins than Philadelphia in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Buffalo | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,321 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle record more wins than Los Angeles R in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Seattle | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 2,922 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baltimore record more wins than Los Angeles C in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Baltimore | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,636 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York J record more wins than Las Vegas in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · New York J | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 2,558 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas record more wins than Jacksonville in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Dallas | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,387 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia record more wins than Buffalo in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Philadelphia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,276 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay record more wins than Detroit in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Green Bay | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 2,039 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago record more wins than Cincinnati in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chicago | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,724 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G record more wins than Atlanta in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · New York G | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 1,558 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh record more wins than Tampa Bay in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Pittsburgh | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,484 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas record more wins than New York J in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Las Vegas | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 1,477 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston record more wins than Denver in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Houston | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 1,237 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R record more wins than Seattle in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Los Angeles R | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 1,230 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit record more wins than Green Bay in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Detroit | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,020 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New England record more wins than Kansas City in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · New England | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 993 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville record more wins than Dallas in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jacksonville | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 991 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City record more wins than New England in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Kansas City | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 644 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta record more wins than New York G in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Atlanta | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 329 | Feb 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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