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Fantasy Football Playoffs Leader on Kalshi
If Zay Flowers records the most full-PPR fantasy points in Week 15 through Week 17 in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sleeper.
Market says (typical open contract)
36%
Median YES price across 75 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
72% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 36¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.24 | 37.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Patrick Mahomes · Patrick Mahomes | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,000 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Brock Purdy · Brock Purdy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 852 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Josh Allen · Josh Allen | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 837 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Joe Burrow · Joe Burrow | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 324 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 216 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Aaron Rodgers · Aaron Rodgers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 181 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Caleb Williams · Caleb Williams | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 130 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Justin Jefferson · Justin Jefferson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 110 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Kenneth Walker III · Kenneth Walker III | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 64 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Ja'Marr Chase · Ja'Marr Chase | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 63 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Fernando Mendoza · Fernando Mendoza | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 60 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Brock Bowers · Brock Bowers | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 60 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Colston Loveland · Colston Loveland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 59 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Ashton Jeanty · Ashton Jeanty | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 59 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Jonathan Taylor · Jonathan Taylor | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 30 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Bijan Robinson · Bijan Robinson | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 30 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Tetairoa McMillan · Tetairoa McMillan | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 29 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Geno Smith · Geno Smith | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 29 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: CeeDee Lamb · CeeDee Lamb | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 29 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Trey McBride · Trey McBride | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 25 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Jahmyr Gibbs · Jahmyr Gibbs | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 23 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: James Cook III · James Cook III | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 12 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Zay Flowers · Zay Flowers | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Tua Tagovailoa · Tua Tagovailoa | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Tyler Shough · Tyler Shough | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Terry McLaurin · Terry McLaurin | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Trevor Lawrence · Trevor Lawrence | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Tee Higgins · Tee Higgins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Shedeur Sanders · Shedeur Sanders | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Sam Darnold · Sam Darnold | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Saquon Barkley · Saquon Barkley | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Rashee Rice · Rashee Rice | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Puka Nacua · Puka Nacua | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Omarion Hampton · Omarion Hampton | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Nico Collins · Nico Collins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Malik Willis · Malik Willis | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Matthew Stafford · Matthew Stafford | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Lamar Jackson · Lamar Jackson | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Kyren Williams · Kyren Williams | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Fantasy playoffs leading scorer: Kyler Murray · Kyler Murray | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 75 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.