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Top Fantasy on Kalshi
If KC Concepcion Jr. finishes top 5 in scoring among wide receivers for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sleeper.
Market says (typical open contract)
27%
Median YES price across 741 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
54% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.56 | 28.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jalen Hurts be a top 5 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jalen Hurts | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 10,761 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ladd McConkey be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ladd McConkey | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,637 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will De'Von Achane be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · De'Von Achane | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 8,394 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Evans be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Mike Evans | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 8,031 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Malik Nabers be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Malik Nabers | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 7,710 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bhayshul Tuten be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bhayshul Tuten | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 7,259 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Justin Jefferson be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Justin Jefferson | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 7,211 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Malik Willis be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Malik Willis | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 6,637 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Burrow be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Joe Burrow | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 6,605 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Parker Washington be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Parker Washington | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 6,259 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Godwin Jr. be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chris Godwin Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,016 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zay Flowers be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Zay Flowers | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 5,756 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luther Burden III be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Luther Burden III | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 5,750 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jalen Hurts be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jalen Hurts | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,513 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Patrick Mahomes be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Patrick Mahomes | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 5,289 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saquon Barkley be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Saquon Barkley | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 5,269 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rashee Rice be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Rashee Rice | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 5,186 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will James Cook III be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · James Cook III | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 5,147 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carson Wentz be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Carson Wentz | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,099 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nico Collins be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Nico Collins | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 4,747 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Derrick Henry be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Derrick Henry | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 4,734 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CeeDee Lamb be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · CeeDee Lamb | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 4,595 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 4,459 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brock Bowers be a top 3 fantasy TE in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Brock Bowers | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 4,427 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Olave be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chris Olave | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 4,423 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Caleb Douglas be a top 10 fantasy rookie in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Caleb Douglas | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 3,969 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chase Brown be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chase Brown | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 3,925 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will De'Von Achane be a top 5 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · De'Von Achane | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 3,923 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ashton Jeanty be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ashton Jeanty | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 3,857 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fernando Mendoza be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Fernando Mendoza | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,838 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dak Prescott be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Dak Prescott | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 3,771 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trevor Lawrence be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Trevor Lawrence | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 3,732 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake Maye be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Drake Maye | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 3,624 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Deshaun Watson be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Deshaun Watson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,499 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will D'Andre Swift be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · D'Andre Swift | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 3,409 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Davante Adams be a top 10 fantasy WR in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Davante Adams | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 3,309 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christian McCaffrey be a top 5 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Christian McCaffrey | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 3,307 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bryce Young be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bryce Young | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 3,223 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jadarian Price be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jadarian Price | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,222 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bucky Irving be a top 10 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bucky Irving | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 3,209 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 741 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.