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AP Pro Football Defensive Rookie of the Year on Kalshi
If Derrick Moore wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arvell Reese win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Arvell Reese | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 242,121 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacob Rodriguez win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Jacob Rodriguez | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 205,099 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Caleb Downs win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Caleb Downs | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 200,331 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sonny Styles win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Sonny Styles | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 200,176 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Bailey win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · David Bailey | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 166,489 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dillon Thieneman win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Dillon Thieneman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 159,631 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mansoor Delane win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Mansoor Delane | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 142,740 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Rueben Bain Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 131,712 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gabe Jacas win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Gabe Jacas | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 124,205 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josiah Trotter win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Josiah Trotter | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 98,203 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brandon Cisse win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Brandon Cisse | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 91,918 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Hill Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Anthony Hill Jr. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 90,066 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cashius Howell win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Cashius Howell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 82,653 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Akheem Mesidor win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Akheem Mesidor | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 61,878 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hezekiah Masses win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Hezekiah Masses | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 51,639 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel McNeil-Warren win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Emmanuel McNeil-Warren | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 37,633 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dani Dennis-Sutton win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Dani Dennis-Sutton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 33,570 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Malik Muhammad II win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Malik Muhammad II | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 30,702 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gracen Halton win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Gracen Halton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 30,401 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Caleb Banks win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Caleb Banks | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 24,785 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CJ Allen win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · CJ Allen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 21,390 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Peter Woods win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Peter Woods | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 13,260 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kayden McDonald win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Kayden McDonald | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 12,009 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Keldric Faulk win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Keldric Faulk | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 11,508 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,119 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jermod McCoy win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Jermod McCoy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,192 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will D'Angelo Ponds win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · D'Angelo Ponds | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,187 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zion Young win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Zion Young | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,829 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Treydan Stukes win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Treydan Stukes | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,593 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jaishawn Barham win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Jaishawn Barham | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,484 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colton Hood win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Colton Hood | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,898 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will R Mason Thomas win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · R Mason Thomas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,468 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harold Perkins Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Harold Perkins Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,136 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Derrick Moore win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Derrick Moore | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 500 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Keionte Scott win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Keionte Scott | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Avieon Terrell win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Avieon Terrell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jake Golday win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Jake Golday | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Malachi Lawrence win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Malachi Lawrence | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will TJ Parker win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · TJ Parker | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Johnson win the Defensive Rookie of the Year? · Chris Johnson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 93 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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