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NFL Draft Exact Selection on Kalshi
If Washington is the team to make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 992 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tennessee make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Tennessee | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 1,394 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Houston make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Houston | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 669 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia make the 3rd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Philadelphia | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 501 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona make the 3rd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Arizona | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 287 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C make the 3rd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Los Angeles C | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 150 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Kansas City | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 87 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C make the 30th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Los Angeles C | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 62 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona make the 7th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Arizona | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 30 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia make the 4th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Philadelphia | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 23 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York J make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · New York J | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 20 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Los Angeles C | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 16 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee make the 3rd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Tennessee | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 1 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Indianapolis make the 3rd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Indianapolis | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Pittsburgh | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Denver make the 25th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Denver | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Denver make the 17th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Denver | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit make the 10th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Detroit | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina make the 10th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Carolina | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo make the 8th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Buffalo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans make the 6th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · New Orleans | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland make the 6th Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Cleveland | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Washington | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Tampa Bay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Philadelphia | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · New Orleans | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Miami make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Miami | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona make the 2nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Arizona | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Washington | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Tennessee | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Tampa Bay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · San Francisco | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Seattle | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Philadelphia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York J make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · New York J | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York G make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · New York G | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · New Orleans | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New England make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · New England | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Minnesota | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Miami make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Miami | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas make the 32nd Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Las Vegas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | May 15, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 992 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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