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Team to go undefeated in division on Kalshi
If the Washington Pro Football team is undefeated in their division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Any team go undefeated in their division? · Any team | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 3,727 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco go undefeated in their division? · San Francisco | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 3,269 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota go undefeated in their division? · Minnesota | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 2,592 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo go undefeated in their division? · Buffalo | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,477 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville go undefeated in their division? · Jacksonville | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,553 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas go undefeated in their division? · Las Vegas | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,509 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G go undefeated in their division? · New York G | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 1,255 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C go undefeated in their division? · Los Angeles C | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 665 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas go undefeated in their division? · Dallas | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 602 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay go undefeated in their division? · Tampa Bay | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 589 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans go undefeated in their division? · New Orleans | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 399 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City go undefeated in their division? · Kansas City | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 382 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver go undefeated in their division? · Denver | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 281 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston go undefeated in their division? · Houston | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 257 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New England go undefeated in their division? · New England | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 253 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago go undefeated in their division? · Chicago | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 236 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland go undefeated in their division? · Cleveland | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 226 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina go undefeated in their division? · Carolina | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 213 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati go undefeated in their division? · Cincinnati | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 200 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia go undefeated in their division? · Philadelphia | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 188 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay go undefeated in their division? · Green Bay | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 44 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baltimore go undefeated in their division? · Baltimore | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 26 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami go undefeated in their division? · Miami | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 9 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington go undefeated in their division? · Washington | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee go undefeated in their division? · Tennessee | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle go undefeated in their division? · Seattle | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh go undefeated in their division? · Pittsburgh | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York J go undefeated in their division? · New York J | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R go undefeated in their division? · Los Angeles R | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indianapolis go undefeated in their division? · Indianapolis | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit go undefeated in their division? · Detroit | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta go undefeated in their division? · Atlanta | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona go undefeated in their division? · Arizona | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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