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Pro Football Division Total Wins on Kalshi
If the teams in the NFC West record at least 42 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 64 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the teams in the NFC North record at least 38 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 38+ total wins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2,193 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC East record at least 36 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 36+ total wins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,783 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC West record at least 38 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 38+ total wins | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 1,035 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC East record at least 30 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 30+ total wins | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 900 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC East record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 32+ total wins | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 896 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC West record at least 36 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 36+ total wins | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 841 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC West record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 34+ total wins | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 809 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC North record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 34+ total wins | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 718 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC North record at least 40 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 40+ total wins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 712 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC East record at least 38 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 38+ total wins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 544 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC West record at least 36 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 36+ total wins | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 476 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC North record at least 42 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 42+ total wins | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 409 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC East record at least 28 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 28+ total wins | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 400 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC East record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 32+ total wins | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 394 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC South record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 32+ total wins | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 388 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC South record at least 28 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 28+ total wins | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 320 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC South record at least 30 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 30+ total wins | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 274 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC South record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 34+ total wins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 247 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC East record at least 30 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 30+ total wins | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 222 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC East record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 34+ total wins | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 174 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC West record at least 40 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 40+ total wins | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 172 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC North record at least 36 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 36+ total wins | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 163 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC North record at least 38 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 38+ total wins | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 140 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC East record at least 28 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 28+ total wins | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 129 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC West record at least 42 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 42+ total wins | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 90 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC East record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 34+ total wins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 78 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC North record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 32+ total wins | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 58 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC North record at least 30 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 30+ total wins | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 52 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC North record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 34+ total wins | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 50 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC North record at least 40 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 40+ total wins | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 40 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC North record at least 36 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 36+ total wins | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 27 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC North record at least 30 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 30+ total wins | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 25 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the NFC West record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 34+ total wins | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 20 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC West record at least 38 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 38+ total wins | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 12 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC South record at least 30 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 30+ total wins | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 5 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC South record at least 28 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 28+ total wins | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 5 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC South record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 32+ total wins | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 2 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC South record at least 42 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 42+ total wins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC West record at least 42 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 42+ total wins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
| Will the teams in the AFC West record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · 32+ total wins | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Feb 01, 04:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 64 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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