What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 27¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.56.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 28% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 27%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Football 2nd Quarter Spread on Kalshi

If Washington wins by more than 7.5 points in the 2nd Quarter of the Washington vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

27%

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

54% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
27¢ (now)	1.4¢	$2.56	28.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Washington wins 2Q by over 7.5 points? · Washington wins by over 7.5 points	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington wins 2Q by over 6.5 points? · Washington wins by over 6.5 points	25¢	25%	1.3¢	—	50%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington wins 2Q by over 3.5 points? · Washington wins by over 3.5 points	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	60%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington wins 2Q by over 2.5 points? · Washington wins by over 2.5 points	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	72%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Washington wins 2Q by over 10.5 points? · Washington wins by over 10.5 points	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G wins 2Q by over 7.5 points? · New York G wins by over 7.5 points	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G wins 2Q by over 6.5 points? · New York G wins by over 6.5 points	27¢	27%	1.4¢	—	54%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G wins 2Q by over 3.5 points? · New York G wins by over 3.5 points	32¢	32%	1.5¢	—	64%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G wins 2Q by over 2.5 points? · New York G wins by over 2.5 points	38¢	38%	1.7¢	—	77%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
New York G wins 2Q by over 10.5 points? · New York G wins by over 10.5 points	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	Nov 15, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.