What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Football 2nd Half Total on Kalshi

If Buffalo and Minnesota collectively score more than 7.5 points in the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will there be over 20.5 2H points scored? · Over 20.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	69,024	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 17.5 2H points scored? · Over 17.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	31,830	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 14.5 2H points scored? · Over 14.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	20,853	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 21.5 2H points scored? · Over 21.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	13,725	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 22.5 2H points scored? · Over 22.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,489	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 10.5 2H points scored? · Over 10.5 points	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,158	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 24.5 2H points scored? · Over 24.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,175	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 7.5 2H points scored? · Over 7.5 points	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,938	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 31.5 2H points scored? · Over 31.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,526	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 28.5 2H points scored? · Over 28.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	976	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 3.5 2H points scored? · Over 3.5 points	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	339	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 35.5 2H points scored? · Over 35.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	158	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 38.5 2H points scored? · Over 38.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Will there be over 42.5 2H points scored? · Over 42.5 points	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.