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RUNNER UP NETFLIX SHOW on Kalshi
If Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Netflix.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 25,975 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Nobody Wants This: Season 3 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Nobody Wants This: Season 3 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,121 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,141 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Black Doves: Season 2 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Black Doves: Season 2 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,786 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Instadocs: Jane Doe v. Cornell be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Instadocs: Jane Doe v. Cornell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,676 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Love Is Blind: S11: Boston be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Love Is Blind: S11: Boston | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,560 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Raw: 2026 - October 26, 2026 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Raw: 2026 - October 26, 2026 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,000 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will From: Season 3 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · From: Season 3 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,131 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will From: Season 1 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · From: Season 1 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 557 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will From: Season 2 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · From: Season 2 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 457 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Minimum Wage: Season 1 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Minimum Wage: Season 1 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 330 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 151 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 138 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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