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Netflix TV ranking on Kalshi

If Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Netflix.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · The One About Matthew Perry: Season 10¢0%0.0¢—1%29,734Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1100¢100%0.0¢—1%16,601Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Black Doves: Season 2 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Black Doves: Season 20¢0%0.0¢—1%14,979Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Love Is Blind: S11: Boston be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Love Is Blind: S11: Boston0¢0%0.0¢—1%12,403Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will From: Season 1 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · From: Season 10¢0%0.0¢—1%11,111Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Nobody Wants This: Season 3 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Nobody Wants This: Season 30¢0%0.0¢—1%4,947Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will From: Season 2 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · From: Season 20¢0%0.0¢—1%4,822Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will From: Season 3 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · From: Season 30¢0%0.0¢—1%2,634Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,308Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Raw: 2026 - October 26, 2026 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Raw: 2026 - October 26, 20260¢0%0.0¢—1%1,221Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Instadocs: Jane Doe v. Cornell be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Instadocs: Jane Doe v. Cornell0¢0%0.0¢—1%824Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Minimum Wage: Season 1 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Minimum Wage: Season 10¢0%0.0¢—1%773Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 9, 2026? · Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike0¢0%0.0¢—1%50Nov 10, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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